TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Florida International Golden Panthersof Florida International Golden Panthers, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Florida International Golden Panthers58c4,163$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.295,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Florida International Golden Panthers65c1,690$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.611,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders55c1,317$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.863,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders17c1,030$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.141,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Florida International Golden Panthers30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70012646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders70c991.16$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.9712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Florida International Golden Panthers32c660.78$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.541,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders12c585$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.772,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders69c517.72$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.912,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders59c484.47$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.133,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders38c480.15$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.781,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders63c407.24$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.676642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Florida International Golden Panthers53c352.92$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7199848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders72c314.6$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.511,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders55c306.31$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.454,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Florida International Golden Panthers41c288.59$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7768254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders41c267$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2222050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b9…b6a9backed Florida International Golden Panthers40c250.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.395619.6%11 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders61c212.59$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7138345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Florida International Golden Panthers43c130.49$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.521,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders38c129.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.741,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders20c108$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.261,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders70c103.3$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3121646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders51c84.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.161,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Florida International Golden Panthers31c79.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.625,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders64c58.41$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Florida International Golden Panthers31c55.81$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.513,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Florida International Golden Panthers35c54.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.941,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders49c53.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.241,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Florida International Golden Panthers28c52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.444358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Florida International Golden Panthers28c51.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1537835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Florida International Golden Panthers30c50.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2197447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Florida International Golden Panthers29c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Florida International Golden Panthers28c49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.286253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a5…2caebacked Florida International Golden Panthers35c46.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.053826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders54c46.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.652,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Florida International Golden Panthers28c46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.128252.4%43 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Florida International Golden Panthers50c44.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x926c…a86bbacked Florida International Golden Panthers31c38.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.262850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Florida International Golden Panthers29c38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.983935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Florida International Golden Panthers29c38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.987346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b5…1ccfbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders58c30.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.892619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders72c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.664658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders59c25.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders61c24.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders72c24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.283161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Florida International Golden Panthers48c22.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.969259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2579…d6cbbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders72c22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.842755.6%15 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d2d…ffcebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders71c19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.492347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacc…23c6backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders71c19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.491866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders73c16.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.939050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5253…b898backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders71c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.652650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x83d7…f2d1backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders72c14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.083464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.