TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Lanús win on 2026-02-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,800 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed No66c19,287$12,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,557.584560%27 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes34c19,144$6,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,471.531,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No66c7,931$5,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696.522055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No66c6,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.992673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes34c3,531$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.644240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes35c3,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2257552%39 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No65c3,314$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.031650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes34c3,115$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.7243618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c3,017$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.478,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c2,508$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.852,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No21c1,900$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50130841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes33c1,719$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.14650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes15c1,340$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20136727%99 W · 268 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes9c1,255$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9119630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f1a…3589backed Yes34c1,015$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3452330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c829.43$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.225,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes22c800$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1784634.8%16 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes34c680.02$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.314531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…96e0backed Yes34c546.88$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No65c499.97$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.993951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No67c486$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3823354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No66c390.69$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2581651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes20c385.19$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7612239.3%48 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3911…a829backed Yes28c351.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No65c309$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No17c308.62$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.5831349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1253…7e78backed Yes34c281.12$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.582944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes11c251.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6913228%37 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No66c235$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.917946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No68c227.81$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2227050.7%137 W · 133 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes32c224.95$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9816534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes33c221.47$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5549535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes34c212.19$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.273647.2%17 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37a0…8423backed Yes34c211.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes33c210.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.15026%13 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38fc…33e2backed No66c209.99$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No21c185$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.411,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes34c176.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010326.2%27 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed No66c167.14$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.833158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes35c160$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75c…86d0backed Yes34c141.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484949%24 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No66c134.91$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.87580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No71c133.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.581,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes23c130.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.043915.4%6 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes35c128.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes44c121.83$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.861,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No17c118.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7710442.3%44 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013041.5%54 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes33c111.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.033,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked No67c104.07$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.344100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed No67c102.9$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.961464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes32c99.97$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9921837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes45c93.09$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1727442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c89…7ee7backed Yes13c92.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0250%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed No67c91.88$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd978…c469backed Yes34c87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No77c86.37$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.229452.1%49 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No20c79.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9732936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed Yes34c78.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.794839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes35c77.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30b2…b012backed Yes35c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No22c74.72$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1849449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631989.5%17 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick69cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7604…f7cdbacked Yes14c73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.221553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed No18c72.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.441471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204d…e472backed Yes35c71.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes35c71.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9212464.5%80 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda1f…dac3backed Yes35c71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027031.5%85 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes57c68.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.871,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed No67c67.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.161154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3c…3dddbacked Yes35c67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes34c65.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3420953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed No67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f16…01cbbacked Yes36c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes22c59.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138433.3%28 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab50…6e96backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9f5…1e93backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Yes34c55.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48dd…271dbacked Yes37c54.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c34…91e7backed Yes35c52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x398c…1e9cbacked Yes35c49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No66c44.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.224367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8c1…8c6bbacked No67c44.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510826.9%29 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe974…bb41backed No70c42.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a12…69e1backed Yes35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes32c38.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4216347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7578…adbebacked Yes35c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b58…2b4abacked Yes35c34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf78d…ea1dbacked Yes35c33.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6340%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6b9…b487backed Yes34c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4915…60f2backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102560%15 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.