South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4028096f2fedefc323ecdf5e15e8ea4ef5e6ac2506f80541411d92c47e436b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed No | 74c | 7,000$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,179.97 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 48c | 3,173$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.13 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 1,442$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.78 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 51c | 816.11$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.05 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 16c | 696.71$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.71 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 584.57$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 66c | 568$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.88 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 427.67$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.8 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 36c | 405.27$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.27 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 66c | 348.48$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 57c | 225.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.18 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 35c | 224.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.22 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 67c | 210.71$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.96 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 41c | 181.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.54 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 176.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 124.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 56c | 118.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed No | 65c | 117$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 38c | 106.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 64c | 90$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed Yes | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 23c | 83.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…d632backed Yes | 36c | 79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7f…3d86backed Yes | 36c | 73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 65c | 64.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…e051backed Yes | 36c | 64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…7544backed Yes | 36c | 58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 48c | 53.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b75…2ae6backed Yes | 36c | 51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed No | 54c | 50.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…e567backed Yes | 36c | 47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…83ffbacked Yes | 36c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 52c | 42.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 34c | 39.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed No | 75c | 38.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee8…f6babacked Yes | 36c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…b487backed Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…cca0backed Yes | 36c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 43c | 28.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…1f3bbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 17.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-02-03?No won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-02-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.