TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Liberty Flames vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liberty Flamesof Liberty Flames, Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,030 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d93…d67abacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens14c2,087$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.5760%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens10c1,999$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens11c1,100$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.312,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12056444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens10c778.7$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.834,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens11c599.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens14c513.82$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.629945.5%45 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Liberty Flames75c439.55$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Liberty Flames67c356$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3214643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens12c338.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.42,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens30c297.12$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.695,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens10c287.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29e3…4a42backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens13c260$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf312…eee8backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens42c236.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Liberty Flames71c232$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.281,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens26c226.44$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0368254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens28c214.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4438345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2438645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens16c190.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.886636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens11c181.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens11c153.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8837835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b5…1ccfbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens7c150.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.862619.2%5 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb3b…0114backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens13c149.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens19c130.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.251,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens13c114$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.481,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens11c113.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.893554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c3…a2efbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens13c112$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick32cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad63…c80fbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens13c109$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x774c…d063backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens13c107$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee8…f6babacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens13c106$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick32cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…8c3cbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens13c105$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156319%12 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x260b…320cbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens13c95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f8…8bacbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens13c90$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a89…26fdbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens13c86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…d5d5backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens13c85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens21c81.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.991,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens29c80.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.493,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbef4…8244backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens14c76.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7542339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Liberty Flames54c65.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3044146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Liberty Flames68c54.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.549259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda4d…fc9ebacked Liberty Flames79c50.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.67666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Liberty Flames60c48.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7270349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb834…e4c1backed Liberty Flames62c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.588350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Liberty Flames71c33.93$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.842,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Liberty Flames66c32.12$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8536942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Liberty Flames69c30.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.291,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb242…0733backed Liberty Flames71c28.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.292268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Liberty Flames59c25.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7293447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Liberty Flames73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7510095%95 W · 5 L+21.3wins+0.21per pick74cpaid+29.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Liberty Flames73c20.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.561668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Liberty Flames65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710252%53 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Liberty Flames78c19.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3630945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Liberty Flames74c14.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9613650.7%69 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.