TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Suns (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$466,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$472,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,061 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns49c145,713$71,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,313.7687144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers49c113,237$55,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,425.342,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Trail Blazers50c110,000$54,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,60040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Suns50c65,769$33,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,769.2310252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Suns50c40,964$20,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,481.9272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Suns51c22,012$11,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,785.911,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Trail Blazers51c20,196$10,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,30049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Suns54c18,000$9,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,279.9621250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Trail Blazers51c14,250$7,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,267.525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns51c14,158$7,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,903.989,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Suns52c12,617$6,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,096.9137557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Trail Blazers51c12,482$6,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,36621943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Trail Blazers50c12,255$6,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,132.7787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Suns53c12,000$6,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,64048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Trail Blazers51c11,855$6,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,026.261,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Trail Blazers50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Trail Blazers51c9,965$5,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,06624450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Suns53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.9676746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6767…d905backed Trail Blazers51c8,345$4,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2561330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6442…aa08backed Trail Blazers51c8,137$4,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,150825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Suns50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Suns52c7,692$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.316543.1%28 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Trail Blazers51c7,567$3,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,85911351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Suns50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Trail Blazers50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Trail Blazers51c4,994$2,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,54748546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Trail Blazers48c4,907$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.5665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Trail Blazers51c4,902$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5009051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Trail Blazers51c4,380$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.7910949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns52c3,292$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.564,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Suns52c3,077$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.9226640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers49c3,011$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Trail Blazers47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.9919147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Trail Blazers51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Trail Blazers51c2,865$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.432150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Suns49c2,741$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.712,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e46…35efbacked Suns53c2,640$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.893850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers50c2,582$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.773,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3d…55b3backed Trail Blazers48c2,432$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.363548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers48c2,292$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers48c2,191$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.944,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Trail Blazers51c2,099$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.612950.4%65 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Trail Blazers46c2,001$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.4658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Suns51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb603…754bbacked Trail Blazers47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9401442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns51c1,915$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.143,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Suns53c1,888$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.2617241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns49c1,719$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.691,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Suns49c1,600$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81612547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Suns53c1,445$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.0259140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Suns50c1,414$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.96939.1%27 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Trail Blazers50c1,414$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.175642.9%24 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Suns52c1,250$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60040451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Suns50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60011358.4%66 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Trail Blazers51c1,149$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5868647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Trail Blazers51c1,100$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55752844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Suns52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Suns50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Trail Blazers49c815$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3549852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1f…c6adbacked Suns53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3765950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Suns55c784.79$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.1680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Suns51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3111242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8eb1…0812backed Suns53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.723246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Trail Blazers49c716.25$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.7853043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Trail Blazers51c707.84$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36117953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns47c610.78$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.533,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Trail Blazers66c600.97$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.189451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Suns53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Suns51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29422845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns34c564.2$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.373,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Trail Blazers48c553.96$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.923850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Suns49c510$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.152951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Suns77c401.76$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8850241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e11…45ecbacked Suns52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.623060%18 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+38.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Trail Blazers47c360$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.29247.8%44 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Trail Blazers51c298.02$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9925951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…c7eabacked Suns52c288.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab15…d4a4backed Suns52c278.85$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.855653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Trail Blazers50c262.64$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8825143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Suns52c261.54$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.543060%18 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Trail Blazers46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Suns52c245.4$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7995651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Trail Blazers51c240.86$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.121,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Suns53c240$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.818446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Trail Blazers51c240$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.495047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Suns50c238.58$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4420448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3955…74cabacked Trail Blazers49c236.91$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.62927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Trail Blazers50c235.79$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9527943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Trail Blazers48c231.4$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.071,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Suns45c220.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3118456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Trail Blazers11c217.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.633562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Suns53c210$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.79358.1%54 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66e6…7dc4backed Trail Blazers52c209.85$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.043534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Suns52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9618650%93 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Trail Blazers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Trail Blazers48c194.42$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.434425%11 W · 33 L-9.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Suns50c194.3$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1534047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f32…483dbacked Suns52c193.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.767643.4%33 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Suns52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3172250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.