NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x023d199c7257a95cfac03610f0ea5ada31fd185273d5206da98ec81bb182928d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Under | 23c | 1,100$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Over | 76c | 900$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 55c | 652.64$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.21 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 66c | 647.85$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.91 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 608.84$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over | 51c | 490.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.95 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 45c | 446.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.54 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed Under | 39c | 399.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 300.97$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.97 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 44c | 282$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 259.16$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 74c | 164.3$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 52c | 122.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 45c | 106.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 55c | 99.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…b03bbacked Over | 42c | 91.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 54c | 78.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 74c | 54.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b95…2e18backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 62c | 40.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 60c | 34.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…4dddbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 50c | 32.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…91b2backed Under | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5this page
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. Trail BlazersSuns won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.