NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41a6c6efe2632fae27b2fbbaeacb95dbd68ed5a001a6550d6d41a45cd94f1089
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 11,237$5,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,618.33 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 7,819$3,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,857.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 7,229$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.95 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 47c | 5,799$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.54 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 5,777$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.92 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 4,122$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.96 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…1405backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 49c | 3,694$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.06 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 50c | 2,920$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 2,579$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 51c | 2,501$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.33 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 2,292$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,596$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Over | 54c | 1,490$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.4 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,366$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.22 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 51c | 1,266$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.56 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 1,206$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 919.16$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.77 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 53c | 824.38$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.92 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 50c | 674.51$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.26 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 567.69$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.27 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 51c | 484.45$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.07 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Over | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 52c | 250$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.52 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 50c | 228.59$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 50c | 217.84$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed Under | 50c | 205.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 201.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.17 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 52c | 192.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Over | 50c | 185$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 48c | 124.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 51c | 121.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 51c | 107.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Under | 15c | 105.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 54c | 89.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 50c | 74.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…4e67backed Under | 50c | 70.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 52c | 61.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 58.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 51c | 49.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 50c | 45.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 50c | 44.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 52c | 43.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…9599backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 30.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfe…bdd0backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 50c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…790bbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5this page
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. Trail BlazersSuns won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.