NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cd359c1422dd11596014b2de0e41f07a65377de76bbfeb4f471df57b50643e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 13,902$6,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,729.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 50c | 6,030$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.2 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Over | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 48c | 3,514$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.18 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 2,918$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.58 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Under | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 47c | 1,548$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.44 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 1,548$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.44 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 1,516$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.76 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 47c | 1,509$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.77 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 1,075$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Over | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 595.7$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 534.82$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.32 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 51c | 431.02$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.48 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…ce09backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 128 | 65.6%84 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 333.84$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.23 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 56c | 321.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 298.32$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 291.81$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.66 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Over | 56c | 208.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Over | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 56c | 157.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 53c | 139.93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 105.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcf…47ddbacked Over | 55c | 103.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 55c | 99.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 45c | 97.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 81.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 67.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa952…14a5backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…c3dbbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Over | 48c | 39.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 53c | 37.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 57c | 31.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…5e2dbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 25.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 217.5this page
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. Trail BlazersSuns won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.