NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56a621a3346ed2cf331ea9c53ac7d4540ecf1d3e7fdf065bcd42a39a3fe323d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Suns | 48c | 15,260$7,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,935.01 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Suns | 48c | 13,321$6,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,965.48 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 11,806$6,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,138.99 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 10,851$5,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,730.99 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 46c | 6,121$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 47c | 3,921$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Suns | 47c | 3,508$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.4 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 2,285$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 2,035$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.14 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,864$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Suns | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.13 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Suns | 47c | 1,543$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.97 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 46c | 1,308$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Suns | 48c | 1,305$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.37 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 55c | 914.69$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Suns | 47c | 591.09$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.84 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Suns | 46c | 389$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 47c | 382.23$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.27 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Suns | 48c | 366$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Suns | 48c | 325$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 47c | 309.16$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Suns | 47c | 276$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Suns | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Suns | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…72ccbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -9.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Suns | 48c | 177.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Suns | 46c | 173.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 140.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 139.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Suns | 47c | 104.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Suns | 46c | 102.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Suns | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Suns | 46c | 96.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Suns | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Suns | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 82.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Suns | 46c | 79.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Suns | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Suns | 48c | 51.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Suns | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Suns | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Suns | 47c | 38.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Suns | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…3b3ebacked Suns | 47c | 32.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…5602backed Suns | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Suns | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Suns | 47c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d68abacked Suns | 47c | 30.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Suns | 45c | 29.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Suns | 47c | 27.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Suns | 48c | 27.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 23.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9d…c3eebacked Suns | 49c | 23.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 22.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Suns | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)this page
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Royce O'Neale: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. Trail BlazersSuns won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Suns vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.