South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2d51ef172e333614265aefb25907c49eaff6a7bc57e0110be530aeb9e85ca6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 29c | 11,209$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.57 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 65c | 9,736$6,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.38 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed No | 68c | 6,172$4,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.11 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1a…3589backed Yes | 34c | 5,751$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 68c | 5,147$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 3,602$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.58 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 3,060$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 66c | 2,130$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 33c | 1,859$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 32c | 850.13$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.04 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…d9c7backed Yes | 34c | 678.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 32c | 620.17$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 67c | 365.24$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.53 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 69c | 328.74$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…be45backed Yes | 32c | 312.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c7…c909backed Yes | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 34c | 297.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed Yes | 32c | 249.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 32c | 234.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 32c | 230$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 209.57$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked No | 65c | 178.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 33c | 172.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…f6efbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 145.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…db20backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 134.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 133.7$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 32c | 131.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 130.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 34c | 128$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 28c | 127.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 33c | 122.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 32c | 114.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 68c | 109$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 32c | 101.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…2832backed Yes | 32c | 96.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 30c | 92.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 82.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed No | 65c | 76.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 69c | 72.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…6c65backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 30c | 71.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 33c | 63.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c91…3a65backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 65c | 61.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 58.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed No | 65c | 55.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…72ccbacked Yes | 29c | 52.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Yes | 29c | 51.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed No | 65c | 49.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 71c | 46.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…2c2cbacked Yes | 33c | 45.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 35c | 39.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed No | 65c | 34.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ef…b013backed Yes | 33c | 32.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…068dbacked No | 65c | 29.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…7684backed Yes | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed No | 65c | 25.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…caa5backed No | 69c | 22.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 72c | 22.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked No | 65c | 20.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed No | 65c | 18.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5325…c0b5backed No | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed No | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.