South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb70ff3073127a7209c11ddbf7f314ce334a5383b3561e30322830d87ae703f23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 21c | 15,670$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290.7 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 22c | 10,000$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.17 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 22c | 8,733$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.21 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 7,660$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 7,188$5,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.78 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 78c | 1,401$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.2 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 23c | 1,152$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.52 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 985$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 932.89$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.3 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 35c | 891$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.76 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 784$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.08 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 22c | 409.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 402.89$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.82 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c7…c909backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 66c | 295.45$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 233.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 27c | 222.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked No | 74c | 176.63$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 148.73$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 36c | 135.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…ca5bbacked Yes | 36c | 135$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 13c | 118.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 80c | 114.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Yes | 18c | 111.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…7e78backed Yes | 36c | 106.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 66c | 102.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 68.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…cf2fbacked Yes | 36c | 63.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…3b59backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…22d4backed Yes | 36c | 44.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 30.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 64c | 28.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-02-01?No won
- Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.