South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5d57e14b4ff68365c2beff342cdad356994010de33579a19a40ac0651eda0e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes | 43c | 12,263$5,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,309.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 33cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 10,212$5,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,327.87 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 44c | 6,244$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.08 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 4,009$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.92 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 2,808$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.96 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 1,556$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.78 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 44c | 1,287$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.53 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 58c | 1,273$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.96 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 20c | 1,144$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.64 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 56c | 856.5$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.86 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 24c | 716.38$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.26 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 527$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.88 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 11c | 460$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 54c | 459.89$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed No | 67c | 391.34$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 386.63$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.44 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 373.83$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.68 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 15c | 359.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 57c | 348.59$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.43 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 38c | 319$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes | 48c | 307.73$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Yes | 36c | 277.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed No | 56c | 228.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 36c | 182$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 41c | 115$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…4bfabacked Yes | 45c | 111.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0e…fb2ebacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…72ccbacked No | 61c | 95.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 93.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 44c | 89.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 29c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…2832backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 28c | 73.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 57c | 62.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 73c | 55.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed No | 60c | 50.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 55c | 48.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 45c | 38.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed No | 60c | 33.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed No | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 24.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 23.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5325…c0b5backed No | 56c | 21.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed No | 66c | 19.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed No | 57c | 18.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…6b2abacked No | 65c | 15.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will Querétaro FC vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.