TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$310,594

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,317 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01c2…a193backed No0c67,715$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No19c16,930$3,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,210.71330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No16c7,313$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.7379435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes79c7,284$5,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.598858%51 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes68c7,238$4,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,330.7513153.4%70 W · 61 L+14.1wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No32c6,201$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.385655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3260…c210backed No21c5,132$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No19c4,403$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.951,83450.1%919 W · 915 L+30.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No18c4,072$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.866,02846.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L+50.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed No19c4,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.974055%22 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No13c3,634$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.032,66142%1,117 W · 1,544 L+50.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed No10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No18c2,850$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.998930.3%27 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes74c2,734$2,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.817753.2%41 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No15c2,671$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.6110724.3%26 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No26c2,520$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.632835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes79c2,320$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.282050%10 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No61c1,930$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.63964.1%25 W · 14 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+46.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Yes76c1,884$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.284969.4%34 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No18c1,786$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c0b…d836backed Yes79c1,500$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No15c1,128$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.961,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked No11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No19c870.07$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8927540.7%112 W · 163 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No17c776.37$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.98633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No12c675.82$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No30c591.68$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0440656.4%229 W · 177 L+34.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No16c545.02$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.468427.4%23 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked No13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654573.3%33 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed No10c500$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515932.2%19 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa637…bacfbacked Yes74c405.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed No39c310$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.273250%16 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa633…1cf7backed Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.97580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…04b5backed No13c267.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb6…8af4backed No27c261.04$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5b…1008backed Yes74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked Yes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No17c173.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.587455.4%41 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed No22c167.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.811145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+77.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No24c152.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3762652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0929917.4%52 W · 247 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No16c145.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.721,17549.2%578 W · 597 L-1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked No25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.631457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaffc…fab4backed No22c125$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ac…e753backed No31c114.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked No20c112$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.31275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed No22c109.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.772157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed No30c105.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.862544%11 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked No21c104.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2023755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Yes77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed Yes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.54969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed No15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152313%3 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed No17c88.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.86137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-84.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No21c85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.11,36556.6%772 W · 593 L+65.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked Yes79c82.66$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No39c79.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2380155.6%445 W · 356 L+38.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7408…cf2ebacked Yes74c78.06$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+78.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80a9…ad8bbacked No17c75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed No24c74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.535244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed No28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No20c65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…7627backed Yes78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.15349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdad0…90cdbacked No28c62.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes79c54.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.462878.6%22 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes80c52.11$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.424450%22 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Yes79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.636786.6%58 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick77cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.15141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No23c45.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6931524.8%78 W · 237 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x485d…fc8abacked Yes80c43.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.75560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8b1…7a1cbacked Yes69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfb…9f00backed Yes78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.463467.6%23 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x184e…b307backed Yes67c36.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38eb…d788backed Yes72c35.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1038…6330backed Yes73c32.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…728abacked Yes73c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc30…8780backed Yes76c26.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes79c26.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.55870.7%41 W · 17 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e80…6910backed Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec2…ee6dbacked Yes79c20.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd861…931abacked Yes74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Yes74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.24645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee3…12debacked Yes79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbbc…4572backed Yes73c14.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.99955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e1…e453backed Yes80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.