Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Austin Peay Governors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06a137fec09e53a06f69c78aa31c7b6562adc7b30186313c49440c02a5f1cd29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Austin Peay Governorsof Lipscomb Bisons, Austin Peay Governors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Austin Peay Governors | 68c | 2,951$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.22 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lipscomb Bisons | 32c | 973.7$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Lipscomb Bisons | 29c | 912.68$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.01 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 35c | 803.23$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.13 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lipscomb Bisons | 30c | 792.57$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.94 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Austin Peay Governors | 64c | 585.6$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.82 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Austin Peay Governors | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Lipscomb Bisons | 36c | 394.84$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.14 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Austin Peay Governors | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lipscomb Bisons | 33c | 280.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Austin Peay Governors | 63c | 260.35$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Lipscomb Bisons | 31c | 230$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lipscomb Bisons | 40c | 203$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Lipscomb Bisons | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Austin Peay Governors | 63c | 181.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Austin Peay Governors | 63c | 169.46$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 33c | 154.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Austin Peay Governors | 68c | 139.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lipscomb Bisons | 29c | 129.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lipscomb Bisons | 39c | 121.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Lipscomb Bisons | 40c | 120.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Lipscomb Bisons | 27c | 86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lipscomb Bisons | 30c | 85.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Lipscomb Bisons | 47c | 73.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Lipscomb Bisons | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…72ccbacked Austin Peay Governors | 70c | 64.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lipscomb Bisons | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Austin Peay Governors | 67c | 47.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Lipscomb Bisons | 36c | 43.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lipscomb Bisons | 52c | 40.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…2374backed Lipscomb Bisons | 48c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Austin Peay Governors | 65c | 39.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Lipscomb Bisons | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Austin Peay Governors | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Austin Peay Governors | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Lipscomb Bisons | 51c | 25.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Austin Peay Governors | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Lipscomb Bisons | 46c | 24.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Austin Peay Governors | 61c | 18.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.