Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde9a448d4385a4521d3a69736f6ea31c91fb5f79ffcb92cf37b807469b8159f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Youngstown State Penguinsof Youngstown State Penguins, Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 44c | 713$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.28 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 58c | 522$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.16 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 57c | 520$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Youngstown State Penguins | 43c | 501.89$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.08 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Youngstown State Penguins | 43c | 436.93$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.05 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Youngstown State Penguins | 64c | 404.33$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.96 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 55c | 394.67$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.55 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 22c | 368.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 38c | 311.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 42c | 300.78$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 56c | 271.06$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 37c | 265.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 26c | 172.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 17c | 171.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 24c | 121.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 44c | 108$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Youngstown State Penguins | 68c | 80.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 40c | 80.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Youngstown State Penguins | 44c | 77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 29c | 54.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Youngstown State Penguins | 44c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…1518backed Youngstown State Penguins | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 34c | 31.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Youngstown State Penguins | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Youngstown State Penguins | 42c | 25.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Youngstown State Penguins | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…bfebbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 54c | 21.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…72ccbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 74c | 20.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…0733backed Youngstown State Penguins | 58c | 19.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 58c | 17.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.