NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2b53713411e7a8f72ff6860d8a776f11c16cb9429c2fd096b7a54537e884bec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Magic, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 6c | 512.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353a…06c5backed Thunder | 70c | 125$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d99…ab54backed Magic | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…e21bbacked Magic | 30c | 118$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf00…9222backed Magic | 31c | 94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec6…9ca4backed Thunder | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…69fbbacked Magic | 31c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f91…a01fbacked Magic | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7b…47e0backed Thunder | 70c | 82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef4…409ebacked Thunder | 69c | 82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…8ff8backed Thunder | 69c | 77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…753bbacked Magic | 31c | 76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…def5backed Thunder | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4882…9df3backed Magic | 30c | 73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0f…0e3cbacked Thunder | 69c | 71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…d26ebacked Magic | 31c | 71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…3036backed Thunder | 69c | 71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c57…d1d7backed Thunder | 69c | 68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944b…34e8backed Thunder | 70c | 66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…fd9fbacked Thunder | 68c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddeb…8cb9backed Thunder | 70c | 63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…2325backed Thunder | 70c | 62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…1503backed Magic | 31c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…cb7cbacked Magic | 31c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe1…14e5backed Magic | 30c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…85bbbacked Thunder | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…b022backed Magic | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f40…cefdbacked Thunder | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf4…0ae8backed Thunder | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…6c89backed Thunder | 69c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…d474backed Magic | 31c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…f860backed Thunder | 70c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…6c98backed Thunder | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8b…2f4ebacked Thunder | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70a…7107backed Thunder | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…7d0bbacked Thunder | 71c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…5312backed Magic | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…abd6backed Magic | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…443ebacked Thunder | 70c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…a1a8backed Magic | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Magic | 30c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 70c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…3d75backed Thunder | 69c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…c2f9backed Magic | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…934cbacked Magic | 31c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…baafbacked Magic | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…e4d5backed Magic | 30c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…09bdbacked Magic | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3419…e404backed Thunder | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f99…0a7cbacked Thunder | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…7aadbacked Magic | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…528dbacked Thunder | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…58c1backed Magic | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…0e17backed Magic | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0420…ee72backed Magic | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…654fbacked Magic | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a4…7941backed Magic | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47aa…ab1cbacked Thunder | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d56backed Magic | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfad1…b717backed Magic | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…d484backed Thunder | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2882…3724backed Magic | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe826…cfe1backed Magic | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6831…08b7backed Magic | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…a9fcbacked Magic | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…d748backed Magic | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…08fbbacked Magic | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +85%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb374…f22dbacked Magic | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…7d6abacked Thunder | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…fb57backed Magic | 34c | 31.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…d6c3backed Thunder | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…596dbacked Thunder | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…48a0backed Thunder | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…82d0backed Thunder | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb970…2ed0backed Thunder | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da1…2224backed Thunder | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…9077backed Thunder | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fb…a30cbacked Thunder | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…16c8backed Thunder | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf90…8591backed Thunder | 70c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…a190backed Thunder | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…f487backed Thunder | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…e80ebacked Thunder | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…90d5backed Thunder | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e04…3fb0backed Thunder | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcb…5ee0backed Thunder | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa63…0454backed Thunder | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…8a5ebacked Thunder | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c5…5ff4backed Thunder | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…dd55backed Thunder | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab2…a34fbacked Thunder | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8610…eba9backed Thunder | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf22…531bbacked Thunder | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…e45abacked Thunder | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…ffdbbacked Thunder | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…11fabacked Thunder | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Magic vs. ThunderThunder won
- Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Under won
- Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.