South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b4bc4a3d08f4bfbd039cd51e9e90c5d6d99ff8e8294c9c123cec127d72b45df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe539…ef32backed No | 30c | 30,953$9,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,285.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 69c | 17,197$11,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,272.28 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…f467backed Yes | 70c | 15,991$11,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,797.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f73…2121backed Yes | 70c | 14,647$10,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,394.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 26c | 11,402$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.82 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 69c | 8,584$5,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.14 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 70c | 5,500$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 4,714$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.03 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 31c | 3,064$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 31c | 2,928$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.52 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 30c | 2,136$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 2,061$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.08 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 30c | 1,938$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.81 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes | 72c | 1,935$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.83 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 31c | 1,050$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 12c | 990.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 3c | 841.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 29c | 834.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.15 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed No | 33c | 717.84$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 30c | 670.09$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…8a0fbacked No | 33c | 627.27$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 31c | 600$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 68c | 437.65$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.17 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 67c | 425.18$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.31 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 71c | 424.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…e6a7backed Yes | 69c | 409.49$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 36c | 361.13$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 31c | 354.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 34c | 332.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…3f9cbacked Yes | 71c | 314.2$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed No | 32c | 307.28$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 30c | 292.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 28c | 193.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 68c | 185$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 71c | 169.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 31c | 163.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 38c | 149.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 146.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 74c | 141.57$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 33c | 130.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 25c | 125.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…71f0backed No | 34c | 120.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 31c | 108.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -85%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 29c | 103$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked No | 35c | 94.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…2df3backed Yes | 63c | 79.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 36c | 69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…77f6backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed No | 30c | 57.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed Yes | 70c | 57.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0119…fa8abacked Yes | 71c | 55.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 59c | 49.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Yes | 71c | 47.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed No | 30c | 42.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…857dbacked Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Yes | 69c | 28.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed No | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b4f4backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 69c | 16.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-06?this page
- Will Mazatlán FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?No won
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-02-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.