Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe54f0d55f47dcacfbff41f3e443dea2a2838bf9f939a8e815cc0a889bbb60a56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Buffalo Bullsof Miami (OH) RedHawks, Buffalo Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 49c | 28,389$13,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,910.67 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Buffalo Bulls | 50c | 17,313$8,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,585.88 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Buffalo Bulls | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Buffalo Bulls | 51c | 4,959$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.11 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Buffalo Bulls | 51c | 2,785$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.63 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 53c | 1,891$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Buffalo Bulls | 47c | 1,771$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Buffalo Bulls | 48c | 1,438$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.28 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 904.7$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.35 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 881.49$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.37 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 52c | 788.25$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.89 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Buffalo Bulls | 45c | 543.33$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.83 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Buffalo Bulls | 48c | 512.11$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.29 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Buffalo Bulls | 45c | 378$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Buffalo Bulls | 51c | 324$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.83 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 53c | 249.72$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 245.35$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.13 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Buffalo Bulls | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Buffalo Bulls | 38c | 204.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Buffalo Bulls | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Buffalo Bulls | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Buffalo Bulls | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Buffalo Bulls | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Buffalo Bulls | 47c | 194.06$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Buffalo Bulls | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Buffalo Bulls | 48c | 111.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 55c | 104.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Buffalo Bulls | 45c | 103.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…d8b1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Buffalo Bulls | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Buffalo Bulls | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Buffalo Bulls | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Buffalo Bulls | 51c | 45.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 56c | 43.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 62c | 39.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Buffalo Bulls | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b4f4backed Buffalo Bulls | 47c | 36.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Buffalo Bulls | 52c | 33.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Miami (OH) RedHawks | 55c | 27.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…60b7backed Buffalo Bulls | 50c | 25.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Buffalo Bulls | 51c | 24.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-4.5)this page
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo BullsMiami (OH) RedHawks won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 162.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 163.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-5.5)Buffalo Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.