Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 164.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b683cec6c1414f5ab687fa2672b2c9a256e56197991adc6688c1c3e624ea47e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 52c | 35,000$18,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,799.99 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 7,646$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975.94 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 7,273$3,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,741.83 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Over | 48c | 7,202$3,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.11 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 48c | 7,111$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.28 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 51c | 3,729$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.16 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 48c | 2,215$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.38 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 1,700$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 48c | 309.02$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.33 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 52c | 276.78$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.73 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 47c | 239.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 164$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 53c | 160.71$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 53c | 150.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 50c | 98.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 48c | 89.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 48c | 79.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 52c | 46.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…ac06backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…178abacked Under | 50c | 29.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Under | 52c | 24.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…5652backed Under | 52c | 19.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 164.5this page
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo BullsMiami (OH) RedHawks won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 162.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-4.5)Buffalo Bulls won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-5.5)Buffalo Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.