Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03cea4f2f664e2649a4e55c075ffc4346d9ae70bedf7d3b1569c900bc8c6cca3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 46c | 26,448$12,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,167.29 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 54c | 10,000$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,350 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 54c | 10,000$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,350 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 54c | 3,434$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.36 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 54c | 2,791$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.34 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 56c | 2,656$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 1,292$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 47c | 1,045$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.32 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 47c | 706$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.18 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 52c | 446$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.92 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 366.9$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Over | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 53c | 299.98$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 52c | 242.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.34 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 53c | 238$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 54c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…f1c8backed Under | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 47c | 127.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 47c | 125.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 53c | 124.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 102.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 48c | 88.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 53c | 82.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 53c | 42.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949d…374cbacked Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 162.5this page
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo BullsMiami (OH) RedHawks won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 163.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-4.5)Buffalo Bulls won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-5.5)Buffalo Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.