Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe50f39d3436b87786892eeb69f2e799a1e73732dc2210df60b05f701bc9aa71b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 50c | 78,146$39,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,021.11 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Over | 51c | 32,958$16,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,890 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.99 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 17,005$8,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,502.5 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 17,000$8,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.49 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 51c | 16,227$8,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,326.01 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 48c | 9,934$4,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,165.81 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 7,747$3,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.41 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 50c | 6,538$3,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 50c | 6,150$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.5 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 5,529$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 50c | 4,722$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.09 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 4,275$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.88 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 3,926$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.82 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 3,033$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Under | 48c | 2,285$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.2 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 50c | 2,050$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 50c | 698.9$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.92 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 48c | 617$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.68 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 50c | 529.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.95 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 461.28$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.07 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 51c | 369.52$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.24 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 255$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Over | 52c | 211$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 200.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Under | 50c | 151.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…f1c8backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 52c | 117.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Under | 51c | 113.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Over | 49c | 107$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 49c | 101.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 49c | 91.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 51c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 51c | 79.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 67.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 50c | 50.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 51c | 36.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 54c | 33.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Under | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Over | 50c | 25.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 163.5this page
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo BullsMiami (OH) RedHawks won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 162.5Under won
- Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bulls: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-4.5)Buffalo Bulls won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-5.5)Buffalo Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.