TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OGof Team Falcons, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,999 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c29…afadbacked OG49c18,867$9,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,665.526150.8%31 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Team Falcons60c12,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,20013558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons42c10,988$4,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,624.4273841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Team Falcons49c8,400$4,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.1514840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked OG48c6,829$3,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,553.9955157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Falcons47c6,812$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.9717444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed OG56c5,086$2,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.5915047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed OG46c4,994$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,705.421,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked OG44c4,877$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,722.747562.7%47 W · 28 L+11.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons72c3,520$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,526.6739660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG44c3,295$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.631,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG41c3,192$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.672,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons53c3,065$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.4199844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked OG53c2,885$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.321,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…951cbacked OG68c2,663$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.694973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d81…294abacked Team Falcons25c2,589$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons30c2,294$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.971,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed OG40c2,105$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.8416142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed OG40c2,101$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.899837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Team Falcons60c1,653$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Team Falcons55c1,529$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.0534443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed OG39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.8946535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Team Falcons33c1,282$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.6333645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed OG38c1,183$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.499345.2%42 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Team Falcons27c1,173$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.1614940.9%61 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked OG39c1,154$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.844443.2%19 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed Team Falcons61c1,151$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007944.3%35 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Team Falcons44c1,145$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009053.3%48 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed OG36c1,129$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.2417740.7%72 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons45c1,067$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47647660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed OG49c1,027$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.9854445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Team Falcons60c1,022$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.2218452.2%96 W · 88 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed OG55c999.97$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9956848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50060349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed OG56c935.03$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.2411346.9%53 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed OG49c921.26$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.8442650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed OG34c909.99$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.075843.1%25 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked OG52c899.33$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.8211052.7%58 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed OG40c869$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.433644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Team Falcons58c862.72$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.753354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Falcons60c857.57$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.5419943.2%86 W · 113 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…7d4abacked Team Falcons61c824.27$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.575149%25 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc06…3e6bbacked Team Falcons62c820.76$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.871145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons51c816.77$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.762,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f25…7e84backed Team Falcons78c779.35$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.950%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed OG40c770.22$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.1364744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Team Falcons19c766$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9219242.7%82 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons21c726.35$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5992056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Team Falcons7c726$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.945942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons28c695.39$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7566662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons58c689.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.1880443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Team Falcons39c647.94$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Team Falcons67c624.3$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.0415465.6%101 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1a…89e5backed Team Falcons52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Falcons68c586.5$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40060646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Team Falcons60c541.06$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.273441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Team Falcons53c531.26$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2808543.5%37 W · 48 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Falcons30c520.59$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15862650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Team Falcons60c511.96$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Team Falcons54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6569835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Team Falcons48c498$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.638950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Falcons44c496.41$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4232951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed OG61c457.33$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3234063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed OG35c443.87$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.8936054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e18…e68bbacked Team Falcons25c436.74$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.922343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c5…a861backed Team Falcons4c422.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Team Falcons60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed OG76c411$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0215337.3%57 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb9…2b21backed Team Falcons60c402.01$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked OG40c399.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24019251.6%99 W · 93 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Falcons51c389.84$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8245046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed OG78c382.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3316160.2%97 W · 64 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Team Falcons64c358$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.157844.9%35 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons51c347.05$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.641,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Team Falcons58c346.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x848c…bfebbacked Team Falcons45c341.17$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.211838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c3c…0629backed Team Falcons54c330.93$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.782441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da2…8c2bbacked Team Falcons63c316.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9110966.1%72 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03b0…482cbacked Team Falcons61c300.37$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.11933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-45%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed OG68c281.4$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8413827.5%38 W · 100 L-15.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Falcons75c268.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3791356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed OG42c266.06$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2511348.7%55 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69a0…6e5ebacked OG41c258.39$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.451050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Team Falcons22c257.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.761548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa4…71c5backed Team Falcons32c253.31$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.696245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc6d…f1c8backed OG40c249.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.992748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+47.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Team Falcons72c245.97$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.120452.9%108 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed OG42c243.18$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5718143.6%79 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1976…e363backed Team Falcons55c238.9$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.15646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Falcons44c237.93$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6952243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b0…b4f4backed OG43c233.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.17650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed OG46c224.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b7c…bfd7backed OG40c221.68$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.011250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Team Falcons24c212.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07f8…cfaabacked Team Falcons48c209.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35a7…4293backed Team Falcons57c205.53$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.474535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-37.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked OG69c200.05$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.631580%12 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed OG43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11429550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed Team Falcons53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10619856.1%111 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Falcons35c200$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8653757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.