Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-02-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x085c233fe66c36644663261eef342341ae73740587c4dc02c1070d1bcb65fa35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe161…a10bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,033$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 48c | 1,617$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.88 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 1,600$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.65 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Yes | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 55c | 906.44$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 53c | 747.16$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 615.09$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.31 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 48c | 572.92$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.92 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed No | 47c | 536.28$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 535.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.22 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…ab11backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…af59backed No | 49c | 395.92$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 31c | 327.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 48c | 267.72$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.21 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed No | 47c | 249.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 20c | 247.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 44c | 246.05$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.79 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 53c | 220.38$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 207.72$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 47c | 205.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 52c | 190.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 12c | 187.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed No | 47c | 131$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 126$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 124.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 13c | 106.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 46c | 104$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed No | 47c | 93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…c018backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 55c | 91.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 49c | 53.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…bae9backed Yes | 53c | 50.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…a319backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed No | 47c | 49.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…122ebacked No | 47c | 41.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c8…bc51backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf32…bd9cbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 54c | 36.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Yes | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 26.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe151…5ebebacked Yes | 56c | 25.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b4f4backed Yes | 54c | 24.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…0101backed No | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Yes | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Yes | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Yes | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Yes | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Yes | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc842…21ebbacked No | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Yes | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Yes | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7251…8817backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Yes | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NAC Breda win on 2026-02-06?this page
- Will NAC Breda vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?No won
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-02-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.