Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-02-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa84992e229d1b80d33b4a9253076fda3db22354a3e06d144e9ce5ba776f4f486
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 28c | 20,004$5,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,402.98 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 13,392$8,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,870.43 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 64c | 6,704$4,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.66 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 5,100$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,957.42 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 6c | 3,179$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 6c | 2,099$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.67 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 52c | 2,008$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.76 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 1,498$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 1,498$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.28 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 902.13$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.52 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed No | 78c | 650$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 471$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.67 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 6c | 402.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked No | 77c | 388.82$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2232backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 45c | 359.6$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.22 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 77c | 355.23$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.53 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 350$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f2…c6f5backed Yes | 29c | 340.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 40c | 273$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 27c | 253.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 71c | 229.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.29 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 34c | 225.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 61c | 212.83$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 24c | 154.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 9c | 154$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…3f2fbacked Yes | 23c | 139.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed No | 43c | 115.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…ab11backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 90.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 23c | 61.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 78c | 61.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked Yes | 75c | 61.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…e7afbacked Yes | 27c | 56.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed No | 25c | 53.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked No | 77c | 53.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed No | 79c | 43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 76c | 39.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 30.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 30.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 29.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed No | 77c | 23.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked No | 79c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 70c | 22.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed No | 78c | 20.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-02-06?this page
- Will NAC Breda vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?No won
- Will NAC Breda win on 2026-02-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.