Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eb67697cdead978dcc47769150a4c23bd94665aa1465a47c91c504605a40952
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Syracuse Orangeof North Carolina Tar Heels, Syracuse Orange
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 24,241$11,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,879.12 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Syracuse Orange | 50c | 12,500$6,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,202.4 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Syracuse Orange | 51c | 9,980$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.22 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 4,226$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.59 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Syracuse Orange | 49c | 4,130$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.43 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Syracuse Orange | 51c | 3,434$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.66 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Syracuse Orange | 52c | 3,392$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.96 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Syracuse Orange | 51c | 3,062$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.17 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Syracuse Orange | 51c | 3,033$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.17 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Syracuse Orange | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 2,494$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.14 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 2,138$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.78 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Syracuse Orange | 50c | 1,965$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Syracuse Orange | 51c | 1,835$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.3 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Syracuse Orange | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Syracuse Orange | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Syracuse Orange | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 544.31$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.88 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Syracuse Orange | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Syracuse Orange | 50c | 382.13$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.07 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Syracuse Orange | 51c | 300.04$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.02 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Syracuse Orange | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Syracuse Orange | 50c | 269.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.87 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…4138backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 244.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Syracuse Orange | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Syracuse Orange | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Syracuse Orange | 50c | 157.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Syracuse Orange | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Syracuse Orange | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Syracuse Orange | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Syracuse Orange | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed Syracuse Orange | 51c | 89.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 69.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 49.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Syracuse Orange | 51c | 46.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Syracuse Orange | 52c | 41.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…da51backed Syracuse Orange | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 51c | 38.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999b…6f26backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 37.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b4f4backed Syracuse Orange | 51c | 32.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf2…08c6backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 31.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Syracuse Orange | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…5038backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 50c | 23.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Syracuse Orange | 52c | 22.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Syracuse Orange | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-11.5)this page
- Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina Tar Heels won
- Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.