Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0454882578085b7738869b14cf8f67fd48d28d532c67b80d2b3d2c6c048196b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina Tar Heelsof Syracuse Orange, North Carolina Tar Heels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Syracuse Orange | 9c | 9,947$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.2 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Syracuse Orange | 15c | 9,850$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.93 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Syracuse Orange | 14c | 9,708$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.16 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Syracuse Orange | 14c | 7,120$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…0e15backed Syracuse Orange | 14c | 3,168$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Syracuse Orange | 5c | 2,426$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Syracuse Orange | 14c | 2,194$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Syracuse Orange | 6c | 1,571$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Syracuse Orange | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Syracuse Orange | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Syracuse Orange | 15c | 667.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Syracuse Orange | 13c | 599.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Syracuse Orange | 13c | 582.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Syracuse Orange | 14c | 561.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cc…e5b5backed Syracuse Orange | 10c | 381.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Syracuse Orange | 15c | 355$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Syracuse Orange | 13c | 353.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Syracuse Orange | 8c | 256$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Syracuse Orange | 13c | 253.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Syracuse Orange | 14c | 235.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…f421backed Syracuse Orange | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…864abacked Syracuse Orange | 12c | 183.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Syracuse Orange | 13c | 153$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Syracuse Orange | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Syracuse Orange | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e82…47d5backed Syracuse Orange | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Syracuse Orange | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Syracuse Orange | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Syracuse Orange | 14c | 77.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsthis page
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-11.5)Syracuse Orange won
- Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.