Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b4c4653a008c0a4f3aa50286e3f7fa5af820ebe1c039840908bf65120898766
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 87,536$41,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,744.06 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 45c | 66,337$29,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,855.72 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 53c | 40,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,000 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Over | 54c | 30,088$16,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,840.5 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 55c | 25,500$14,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,475 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 55c | 19,017$10,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,557.62 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 52c | 14,000$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 52c | 12,480$6,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,990.51 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 10,080$5,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 55c | 4,491$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.95 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 54c | 814.81$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.81 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 55c | 765.05$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.27 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 54c | 764.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.85 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 53c | 471.24$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.45 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 55c | 318.75$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.44 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 47c | 312.5$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 46c | 254.43$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 55c | 245.96$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Over | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 47c | 190.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…45ecbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 180.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 55c | 164.71$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 47c | 68.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Over | 54c | 51.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a3…4f47backed Under | 46c | 50.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…ade7backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Over | 54c | 25.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Over | 55c | 21.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 53c | 19.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Over | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 156.5this page
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-11.5)Syracuse Orange won
- Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina Tar Heels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.