AI · resolved market
Meek Mill releases AI app in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d782d16eeb4a0a08e1b9dc111b26b5aea22335295d26c1c830137898f320c3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50f3…c2c2backed Yes | 10c | 551.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 6c | 350.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…541dbacked Yes | 26c | 234.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 231.24$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 258 | 31.8%82 W · 176 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 5c | 213.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 76c | 195$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 8c | 160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8b…2183backed Yes | 7c | 160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…0676backed Yes | 10c | 124.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…bfeabacked Yes | 10c | 120.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f7…e077backed Yes | 26c | 110.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3000…0d25backed No | 75c | 106$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 14c | 99.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 894 | 17.1%153 W · 741 L | -145.2wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…364cbacked No | 76c | 48.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed No | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 75 | 10.7%8 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…800dbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.