Premier League · resolved market
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb449390b62e9e02a0ca7154c6ca0bc628006f3af1ece35c6577ff5ec977e4f1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 4,827$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.09 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 3,078$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.11 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 25c | 1,202$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.26 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 35c | 1,133$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 45c | 1,092$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.85 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 48c | 854.2$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.46 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 48c | 673.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.52 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 40c | 589.59$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.55 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 61c | 574.7$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.7 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 65c | 562.66$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.03 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 479.78$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.72 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…ff11backed Under | 75c | 470.04$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.51 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 77cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 65c | 444$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 33c | 409.91$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 65c | 402$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 56c | 330.36$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…6a80backed Under | 67c | 250$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 36c | 205.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 154$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 22c | 148.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 66c | 135.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…f31ebacked Under | 70c | 71.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 68cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 35c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…3642backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 30c | 44.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 30c | 40.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa356…b3f8backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Under | 53c | 20.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3dd…1675backed Under | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.