La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6d90cb32ab8a1cee389eba1a723bb39675c26896f285f0bf007e68f2068a154
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 43c | 37,738$16,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,529.07 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 57c | 15,555$8,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,866.35 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 57c | 13,000$7,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,410 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 57c | 5,782$3,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.01 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 63c | 3,333$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.12 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 71c | 2,957$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.81 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 57c | 1,967$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.56 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,955$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.91 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 1,787$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.3 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.19 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.35 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 25c | 1,257$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.43 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 47c | 923.29$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.08 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 736.45$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.45 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 489.93$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.63 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 57c | 444$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 57c | 421$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 43c | 396.89$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.72 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 6c | 323.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +145%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 58c | 311.61$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.15 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 42c | 257.14$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 254.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 42c | 185.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed Over | 76c | 169.36$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…7efabacked Under | 57c | 158.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 41c | 150.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…6a80backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22b9…6ae2backed Over | 55c | 147.55$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 43c | 144.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.38 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…b03ebacked Under | 26c | 130$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 55c | 99.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Under | 60c | 95.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 57c | 76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 42c | 74.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 41c | 69.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 57c | 65.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…7e1ebacked Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 43c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 59c | 55.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 34c | 55.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 58c | 52.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 57c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.3wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…d7bebacked Under | 26c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Under | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 59c | 36.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 57c | 35.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +9.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 42c | 29.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…db8cbacked Under | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e54…8f4dbacked Under | 74c | 26.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…9f97backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 43c | 26.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 59c | 24.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…ab7cbacked Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…4313backed Under | 78c | 16.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.