La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81eb1e8e5dd3ef1f9e54eb6cbaa567b098c4488d6abcabf2eb8ede99fe7cd7fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 987.45$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.41 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 12c | 715$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.2 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 22c | 654.06$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +9.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 238.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.67 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfd…2818backed Under | 78c | 230$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 11c | 229.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.98 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 26c | 190.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6a44backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 45c | 108$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b9…6ae2backed Over | 44c | 105.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 15c | 90$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 63.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 67c | 39.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 45c | 33.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.