TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$441,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$466,698

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,423 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43a4…7170backed Yes52c100,000$52,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,999.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc473…58a0backed Yes54c61,486$33,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,267.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c29,643$10,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,867.441,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No48c23,546$11,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,243.92742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c21,963$10,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,606.1362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No47c20,213$9,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,705.0452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No48c17,135$8,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,910.251656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes52c16,818$8,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,709.7314337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No46c14,101$6,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,661.529159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c12,796$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,936.041,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No31c11,565$3,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,029.7171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes54c10,691$5,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,773.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No46c10,143$4,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,486.7835650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No48c10,008$4,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,205.356454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.981338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No48c9,943$4,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,167.7315455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes55c9,561$5,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2972650%13 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No47c8,920$4,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,727.414447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No47c8,192$3,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,325.7687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed No48c7,818$3,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,065.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes57c6,057$3,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,452.446942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c5,680$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,019.7624044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.983420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No46c4,347$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.3821143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No45c4,212$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.742920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee43…83f2backed Yes52c3,841$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes53c3,760$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.884266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Yes77c3,674$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No46c3,661$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.873450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No15c3,421$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,923.3148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe173…9af5backed No25c3,142$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.54683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.48per pick35cpaid+156.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5903655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5605060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5606060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35017043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No26c2,500$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No27c2,398$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.944425%11 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes54c2,041$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1009458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes77c2,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5403650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd8f…a3b1backed Yes53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes54c1,957$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.5511355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No48c1,925$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No45c1,840$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0122236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No47c1,797$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.6314654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No62c1,666$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.394833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No59c1,501$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.275040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No49c1,350$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No45c1,347$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.764459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No47c1,257$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.869152.7%48 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes42c1,224$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.9324642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes53c1,219$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6466446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No3c1,198$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.237638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes55c1,091$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes80c1,053$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.614770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+61.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.677741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.0112839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No51c999.67$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.849140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15bd…1457backed Yes54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No47c865.86$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.912850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No47c814.15$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.2823151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe15…b171backed Yes54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes53c700$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3713748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes52c665.93$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.281330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No20c657.14$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.712638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6da…01cebacked No31c616.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed No47c587.84$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.913348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2553951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27011250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked Yes53c499.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc558…b8ffbacked Yes57c490$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.11250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No46c458.76$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.731030%3 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No49c455.25$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.784856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No48c452.84$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8414247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23413655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2347163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed No48c444.4$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed No47c440.11$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.791030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No6c433.24$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.252626.9%7 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+92.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked No47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No50c400.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.62962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20027244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20823260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38eb…d788backed Yes77c361.27$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes56c357.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No47c354.24$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.758942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No48c350$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18211256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeeb5…f7cebacked Yes8c341.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f06…980bbacked No46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.091050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed No46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+60.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15610948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1591643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes52c299.98$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No10c299.38$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.143826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No12c290.26$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.335037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No29c288.65$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.934330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.