Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8f44c629b66195d3123abed56f2ee41c5de36321bf2585a9c0c1ae1db16e64e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 21c | 9,523$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.83 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe173…9af5backed Yes | 9c | 9,056$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 35cpaid | +156.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 7,073$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 2,720$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.34 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 21c | 1,499$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.87 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…c5fcbacked No | 79c | 1,186$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 961.65$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.43 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…cba8backed Yes | 1c | 830.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 4c | 692.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 23c | 604.3$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…5881backed Yes | 7c | 328.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 22c | 229.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 6c | 228$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 22c | 162.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 10c | 135.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 8c | 126.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 26c | 85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…f3c5backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 76c | 76.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…0139backed No | 78c | 63.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6b…aaa8backed Yes | 25c | 49.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 76c | 48.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebfa…a293backed Yes | 25c | 48.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x669b…f1a8backed Yes | 26c | 47.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…9111backed Yes | 25c | 46.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec4…c96abacked Yes | 24c | 46.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 76c | 36.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 76c | 32.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 76c | 28.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc40d…4813backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 77c | 25.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f0…770dbacked No | 76c | 19.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a4…5e64backed No | 76c | 18.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…5814backed No | 76c | 18.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 77c | 18.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…7a9dbacked No | 77c | 17.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…3d3ebacked No | 76c | 17.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed No | 79c | 17.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 17.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…52f5backed No | 76c | 16.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…eeabbacked No | 76c | 16.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 76c | 16.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…565dbacked No | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f06…c772backed No | 76c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 15.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ae…78b3backed No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…a0d0backed No | 76c | 14.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2346…48d0backed No | 76c | 13.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 77c | 13.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-31?No won
- Will Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.