Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x766c4f0175ac2935437c751be2651d1e52209cae2d49a8ad0e7abd461f29e226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed No | 2c | 7,106$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe173…9af5backed Yes | 19c | 4,208$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 35cpaid | +156.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 1,929$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.75 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,910$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.48 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 1,499$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.46 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 61c | 1,468$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.73 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 75c | 450$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 77c | 413.97$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.16 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed No | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 75c | 370$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 368.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.69 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a5f1backed Yes | 65c | 328.11$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…980bbacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 13c | 117.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 25c | 112$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 93.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.28 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 91.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 18c | 90$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 17c | 80.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 50c | 78.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 18c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 75c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd302…0311backed Yes | 25c | 68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 75c | 67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 21c | 59.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…2be6backed Yes | 26c | 54.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21bf…5b91backed Yes | 26c | 51.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +224.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…1dc1backed Yes | 26c | 50.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 75c | 49.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 25c | 47.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 46.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff58…c3d4backed Yes | 26c | 46.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 76c | 45.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…c03dbacked Yes | 26c | 44.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 24c | 42.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 63c | 42.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…c35dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 75c | 31.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8c…465bbacked No | 75c | 19.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…b162backed No | 75c | 19.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…ba38backed Yes | 52c | 19.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…eeabbacked No | 75c | 18.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…6201backed No | 75c | 17.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…fc5fbacked No | 75c | 17.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98e…e2ccbacked No | 75c | 17.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…76e1backed No | 75c | 17.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -5.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…ffccbacked No | 75c | 16.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.46per pick | 62cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…6fd7backed No | 75c | 16.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…cf8bbacked No | 75c | 16.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…8f32backed No | 75c | 16.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2346…48d0backed No | 75c | 14.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4360…1635backed No | 75c | 14.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6b…aaa8backed No | 75c | 13.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-31?No won
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.