TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,237 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No71c11,875$8,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,501.022,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes30c10,148$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007834.6%27 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9812545.6%57 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No65c8,076$5,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,790.7222949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes41c7,900$3,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,242.974143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c5,611$4,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.785,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Yes34c4,417$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002462.5%15 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+70.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No65c1,871$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.552,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed Yes29c1,758$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e7…f7b5backed Yes74c1,500$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x270b…2bafbacked No68c1,498$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.891656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Yes45c796.64$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.91070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+70%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No80c624.3$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.861,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes37c614.97$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.6318851.6%97 W · 91 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c571.33$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.0896846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No63c551.75$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.833834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes29c541.67$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.084854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba76…e0d7backed No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.545240.4%21 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes28c499.85$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9392835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes43c484$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9325653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No80c454$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.84330.2%13 W · 30 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-56.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes41c424.62$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3230548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked No62c402.78$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.841030%3 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick60cpaid-57.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x12b0…d3e3backed No9c395$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No70c388.17$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.562,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes53c373.68$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb069…9568backed No80c351.55$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.31366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes57c347.43$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.719652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…4307backed Yes36c327.78$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No63c318.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.26642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes53c300.73$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.051,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Yes55c290.9$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes39c271.04$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.513654.4%74 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes41c261.01$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.991,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes23c258$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1220638.8%80 W · 126 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae68…7f0cbacked Yes55c252.89$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c237.67$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.911,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Yes21c237.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9111812.7%15 W · 103 L-0.5wins0.00per pick13cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No43c235.27$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7524247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed Yes33c214$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.423842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes38c195.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5237153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No68c190.87$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0272144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed Yes54c185.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a6…e544backed Yes50c159.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee9…ff13backed Yes52c157.69$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.59616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No80c152.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8136142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yes55c147.6$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.25149%25 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No45c129.77$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4158542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes25c128.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick31cpaid+78.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x256e…597abacked Yes17c124$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.43333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+175%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked No13c120$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.81915.8%3 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No61c118$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5718542.7%79 W · 106 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes27c115.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.511,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes39c114.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1819354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes47c109.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2382053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed No16c106$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.341346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+50.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…3493backed Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c85.31$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.061,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c4d…a427backed Yes48c81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Yes41c81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.215752.6%30 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f46…7a71backed Yes54c73.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick66cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No59c72.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7770842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414744.9%66 W · 81 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No74c69.84$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9414646.6%68 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes42c68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5784347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked No66c64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.582138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No80c56.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.331,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x273d…fb63backed Yes22c56.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.562326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.9wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-58.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3e2a…c0d8backed Yes55c54.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No80c52.49$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No80c51.11$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2230049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168241.5%34 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108941.6%37 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No80c49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9589245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes56c48.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.969653.1%51 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No80c45.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.211145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Yes54c43.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.649146.2%42 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No78c39.64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.621,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No51c38.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9777056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No66c35.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9611861.9%73 W · 45 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes50c33.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.562657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No78c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.261,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked No72c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+135.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf904…85ecbacked Yes54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes51c27.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10c0…1edebacked Yes53c26.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa56d…3053backed Yes48c24.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d02…bb89backed Yes51c24.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b4…0821backed Yes50c23.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8426136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked No68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2226348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed No57c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.54949%24 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7513655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x323f…a511backed Yes58c19.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-53.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No63c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9544152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.