Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bce1e6fe9cbfc0ff9707e8a516865b1e510c2fa4a505c3b5d0fc896a0235208
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a5f…7b17backed No | 0c | 16,260$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 14c | 10,202$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.62 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 10c | 2,873$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.62 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked No | 5c | 1,800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed Yes | 18c | 1,750$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 5c | 1,644$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.78 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 7c | 1,250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 65c | 1,149$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.3 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 1,104$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.19 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…165cbacked Yes | 18c | 798.22$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.54 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 14c | 609.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.98 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 15c | 605.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.38 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…6b45backed Yes | 30c | 568.04$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.94 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 5c | 533.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 53c | 510.51$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.68 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 15c | 500$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.91 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 19c | 492.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 14c | 418.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.52 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 17c | 382.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.4 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 367$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.06 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 64c | 347.33$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.91 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 14c | 326.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.89 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 30c | 247.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.94 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 5c | 230$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 217.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.66 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 15c | 208.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.98 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 15c | 205$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.64 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd6…fa38backed Yes | 75c | 204.32$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 49c | 202$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 22c | 156$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…597abacked Yes | 12c | 142.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +175%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 30c | 131.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 17c | 130.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 14c | 127$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 14c | 112.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 25c | 108.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.81 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 54c | 101.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b83…b2e8backed Yes | 15c | 97.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +547.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 20c | 94.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 64c | 87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 19c | 86.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 14c | 77.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 143 | 10.5%15 W · 128 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 39c | 69.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 77c | 64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed No | 66c | 55.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 32c | 47.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 75c | 45.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-18?this page
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.