TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,398

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed No67c15,039$10,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,933.1519340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c8,147$4,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,511.515,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No32c7,499$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,094.363243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes58c5,344$3,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.210634.9%37 W · 69 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No41c4,829$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.512,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No54c4,695$2,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,148.9322949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes67c3,153$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.7927037%100 W · 170 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No39c2,835$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.074763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3077…6b45backed Yes67c2,752$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.61936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No46c2,200$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No42c2,156$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.295420.4%11 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes30c1,965$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.8892835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No54c1,870$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.24143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No37c1,807$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.827037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No44c1,589$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.4496846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Yes63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e7…f7b5backed No68c1,500$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes46c1,488$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.871,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa467…9c53backed Yes66c1,475$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes60c1,312$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.565669.6%39 W · 17 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+49.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes60c1,302$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.116460.9%39 W · 25 L+8.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+95.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes77c1,299$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes42c1,206$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.8170842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes65c1,100$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7174330.2%13 W · 30 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-56.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed No37c1,093$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.72642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11df…731fbacked Yes46c1,058$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No34c987.97$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.061,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b50…ef4cbacked Yes20c973.02$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.261353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Yes34c960.72$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.6450%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes51c932.37$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.2458542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes60c888.67$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.1310454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Yes57c826.95$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.121030%3 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick60cpaid-57.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes63c815$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.1836142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes42c728.85$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5124247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x270b…2bafbacked Yes57c726.33$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.571656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes53c719.37$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.5484347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes63c694.73$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.5724548.6%119 W · 126 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked No36c687.11$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.948843.2%38 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes77c649.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Yes60c647$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.56747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes55c618.18$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34014037.1%52 W · 88 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No40c596.47$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.436663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No41c591$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.4920638.8%80 W · 126 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes36c580.9$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3630548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No39c562.26$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.431,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a40…840ebacked Yes66c539.5$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes57c500$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.465240.4%21 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3058854.5%48 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66e0…b50ebacked Yes57c471.26$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.971323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes39c433.51$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8918851.6%97 W · 91 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd6…fa38backed Yes73c432.23$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes55c424.37$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1618542.7%79 W · 106 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes65c389.19$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.976341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked No67c377.95$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.474854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes40c366.91$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5813654.4%74 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes38c336.89$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1925653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes58c326.97$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Yes66c315.44$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.194429.5%13 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Yes66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked No42c298.97$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.061070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+70%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5899…4623backed Yes39c280.22$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No48c280.07$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.286642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes65c267.54$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.331,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes66c249.15$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8874739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf830…0454backed Yes66c227.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes38c224.4$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7644152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb085…7b10backed Yes75c221.77$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c218.36$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.952,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes51c218.23$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.191,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed Yes48c214$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.13842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Yes53c205.82$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.083773%27 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8973…f760backed Yes30c205.49$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.653627.8%10 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+249%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec9f…e57bbacked Yes58c203.4$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1068928.1%25 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed Yes64c200$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.46759.7%40 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0270…5a30backed Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes47c199.78$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9314440.3%58 W · 86 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x256e…597abacked Yes63c198.15$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+175%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No47c195$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.031,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes60c193.43$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.949653.1%51 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc91…fcabbacked No35c192.85$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.856100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+121.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Yes66c192.27$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.92040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes49c190.23$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.524448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No42c189.76$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.141,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed No33c179.2$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0611839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Yes31c178.92$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.342544%11 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+78.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes58c177.46$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.631,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yes60c167.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.445149%25 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes66c163.68$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.031,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked Yes58c160$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.442138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes49c158.35$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774650%23 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes39c150$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.29350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes65c146$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.95032%16 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes70c142.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Yes36c139.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.34per pick41cpaid-73.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes56c139.69$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8726348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes55c138$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2982053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes41c129.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9372144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.