Mls · resolved market
Will Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ee365112b3fc634a0861601bf060c1d8608ee1bf1937709cf0f2b0d451fb755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 5,738$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 22c | 5,684$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.55 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 4,498$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.48 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 2,894$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.51 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 2,668$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.65 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…4d4abacked Yes | 23c | 2,609$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 32c | 2,395$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.07 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 2,334$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.54 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 1,308$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.26 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 54c | 926.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 71c | 877.75$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.25 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 711.35$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.72 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 473.84$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 462.06$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 77c | 370.32$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 23c | 366.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…9568backed No | 79c | 283.43$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Yes | 15c | 250.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 7c | 156.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 140.31$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 21c | 137.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 22c | 136.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 21c | 128.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.30per pick | 36cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…2ba2backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 79c | 95.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…739fbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 71c | 94.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 93.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 24c | 92.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 73c | 88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 79c | 78.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 79c | 75.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x856c…91dcbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 32c | 70.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 79c | 61.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed No | 66c | 58.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 20c | 54.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 62c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 21c | 53.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Yes | 22c | 51.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 78c | 51.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 79cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 42c | 47.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 78c | 44.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 80c | 42.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 66c | 37.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…503abacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6f…d737backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 78c | 24.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed No | 66c | 19.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked No | 79c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 18.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 79c | 16.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 14.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-07-17?No won
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.