Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: YBN Team vs Daxak Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2aec10429254b8968171655499246ab0722cff735e32db4fab6bcfd45aaba3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daxak Teamof YBN Team, Daxak Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed YBN Team | 20c | 656.94$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Daxak Team | 38c | 402.15$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.95 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked YBN Team | 38c | 335.84$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5233…eb29backed YBN Team | 70c | 284.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked YBN Team | 36c | 222.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed YBN Team | 24c | 216.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Daxak Team | 76c | 208$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked YBN Team | 31c | 175.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed YBN Team | 58c | 173.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…9568backed YBN Team | 60c | 166.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked YBN Team | 22c | 126.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Daxak Team | 64c | 118.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Daxak Team | 50c | 115.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Daxak Team | 72c | 115$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Daxak Team | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed YBN Team | 35c | 106.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…6c1dbacked Daxak Team | 45c | 98.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa28c…0042backed YBN Team | 62c | 81.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed YBN Team | 39c | 76.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bad…04a9backed YBN Team | 58c | 72.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…b0edbacked YBN Team | 46c | 64.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…dc25backed YBN Team | 61c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed YBN Team | 19c | 52.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x918f…43a7backed YBN Team | 40c | 52.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaa…6abebacked YBN Team | 21c | 51.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed YBN Team | 30c | 50.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked YBN Team | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked YBN Team | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed YBN Team | 40c | 38.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Daxak Team | 38c | 38.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Daxak Team | 29c | 37.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…9488backed YBN Team | 58c | 37.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked YBN Team | 38c | 36.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed YBN Team | 30c | 35.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5985…b3c5backed YBN Team | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked YBN Team | 46c | 25.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…b974backed Daxak Team | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5486…915abacked Daxak Team | 73c | 22.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…c134backed Daxak Team | 72c | 20.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…6645backed Daxak Team | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe37c…ef29backed Daxak Team | 76c | 19.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Daxak Team | 68c | 17.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…d08abacked YBN Team | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243f…c5b9backed Daxak Team | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: YBN Team vs Daxak Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: YBN Team vs Daxak Team - Game 1 WinnerDaxak Team won
- Dota 2: YBN Team vs Daxak Team - Game 2 WinnerDaxak Team won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.