South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a33357b58c341e2c39fc698619d863ed6f28b9bd87db8696adf83b7b6292b40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 4c | 13,703$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.42 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…03bbbacked No | 24c | 10,216$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 14c | 9,348$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.71 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 19c | 8,460$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.04 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 31c | 6,336$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.26 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 9c | 6,332$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.51 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 69c | 5,423$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.37 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes | 74c | 5,406$3,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.23 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 25c | 4,953$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.65 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 31c | 4,892$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.86 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef9…3d08backed Yes | 69c | 4,280$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 4,059$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 73c | 4,000$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.25 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 3,950$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.36 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 69c | 3,871$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 80c | 3,225$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 70c | 3,153$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.47 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 14c | 2,966$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.39 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 31c | 2,904$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.16 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 14c | 2,592$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.82 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 31c | 2,138$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.84 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 31c | 1,666$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.86 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked Yes | 69c | 1,464$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.77 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 30c | 1,420$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa467…9c53backed Yes | 69c | 1,413$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.91 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 79c | 1,133$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.38 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…1c3fbacked No | 30c | 1,085$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Yes | 74c | 1,013$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.51 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,012$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.59 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 32c | 907$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.24 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 30c | 882.44$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.74 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 13c | 729.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 31c | 599.97$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 30c | 599.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 67c | 577.75$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.16 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Yes | 73c | 519.48$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.26 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes | 75c | 508.69$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 69c | 508.22$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.55 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 18c | 501.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54da…1facbacked No | 18c | 497.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 31c | 490.52$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 69c | 473.91$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.91 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 33c | 443$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.19 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 71c | 423.65$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked No | 15c | 423.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Yes | 72c | 415.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 79c | 409.18$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd9…230abacked Yes | 69c | 359.13$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 80c | 358.5$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 14c | 354.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 31c | 351.74$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 13c | 331$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 12c | 328.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 78c | 262.12$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 15c | 257.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 32c | 233.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584a…8b8abacked No | 16c | 170.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 12c | 166.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…9568backed No | 31c | 156.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…ef4cbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…1e6ebacked Yes | 71c | 140.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 13c | 139.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 24c | 139$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…4d66backed Yes | 73c | 137.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 25c | 134.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 31c | 127.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f0…a258backed Yes | 69c | 102$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…1e03backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf246…cbd4backed Yes | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed No | 16c | 84.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…1a43backed Yes | 79c | 81.24$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 31c | 75.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Yes | 69c | 72.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 29c | 69.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 31c | 64.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…5810backed No | 20c | 62.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc848…537bbacked Yes | 80c | 57.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 33c | 55.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…c9f1backed No | 32c | 50.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 68c | 44.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c3…322bbacked Yes | 69c | 42.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…768ebacked Yes | 70c | 40.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-17?this page
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-07-17?No won
- Will EC Bahia vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.