TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Isurusof Isurus, Patins da Ferrari
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$129,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Patins da Ferrari48c8,918$4,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,257.639335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Isurus40c7,928$3,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,781.9477052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Patins da Ferrari60c5,922$3,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,525.8892456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Isurus51c4,904$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.311,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Patins da Ferrari13c3,784$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.9829235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Isurus41c3,626$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.7519529.2%57 W · 138 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Isurus53c3,132$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.5217546.9%82 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Patins da Ferrari52c2,560$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.29445.7%43 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Patins da Ferrari38c2,365$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.953,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Isurus54c2,132$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.891,11054.2%602 W · 508 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Patins da Ferrari44c2,038$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.042,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Isurus38c1,983$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.0536540%146 W · 219 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Patins da Ferrari44c1,955$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.931,89041.9%791 W · 1,099 L-71.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Isurus73c1,767$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.992,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Isurus62c1,752$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.441,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe821…3128backed Isurus60c1,671$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.812763%17 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Patins da Ferrari51c1,607$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.251,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Isurus54c1,511$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.5752150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Isurus65c1,354$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.6343764.3%281 W · 156 L+51.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfa89…f925backed Patins da Ferrari59c1,231$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Patins da Ferrari46c1,174$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.0522567.1%151 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Patins da Ferrari60c1,172$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.936742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Patins da Ferrari44c1,161$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.582,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Patins da Ferrari46c992.72$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.352,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Patins da Ferrari58c958.81$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.822,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Patins da Ferrari57c929.42$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.835953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Isurus59c927.2$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.2316743.1%72 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Patins da Ferrari61c899.62$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.241,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Patins da Ferrari60c862$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.253135%186 W · 345 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Patins da Ferrari32c842.23$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.393,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Isurus42c781.59$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.7326134.5%90 W · 171 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4533…0adcbacked Isurus55c770.26$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3454949%24 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb069…9568backed Patins da Ferrari60c736.18$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.071442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Isurus27c721.74$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.137346.1%172 W · 201 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed Patins da Ferrari40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28015244.7%68 W · 84 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae6d…795fbacked Patins da Ferrari60c579.41$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0495…e6fcbacked Patins da Ferrari49c569.22$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0146…4d51backed Patins da Ferrari61c562$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.564454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b61…a7fabacked Isurus67c561.36$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.211154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Isurus36c550$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.7557740.4%233 W · 344 L+1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Isurus42c541.74$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.39746.4%45 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Isurus41c513.07$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.7140341.7%168 W · 235 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Patins da Ferrari66c500.76$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.237,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Patins da Ferrari50c500.28$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.292,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Isurus37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3155,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed Patins da Ferrari61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed Patins da Ferrari61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Isurus65c434.25$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.392,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Patins da Ferrari59c425.69$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.649952.3%261 W · 238 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Patins da Ferrari61c410$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.138052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a0…9884backed Patins da Ferrari49c406.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.891631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Patins da Ferrari60c379.44$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2282142.5%349 W · 472 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Isurus37c371.06$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.177652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked Patins da Ferrari60c364.01$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0110136.6%37 W · 64 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Patins da Ferrari37c354.75$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.922,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Isurus39c352.24$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.8761654.9%338 W · 278 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Patins da Ferrari44c346.85$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0376933.8%260 W · 509 L-48.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Patins da Ferrari58c341.27$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9825046.8%117 W · 133 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Patins da Ferrari24c337.09$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0312744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Patins da Ferrari61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010261.8%63 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c0…718fbacked Isurus24c325.11$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.494630.4%14 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Patins da Ferrari61c320.54$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0461855%340 W · 278 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Patins da Ferrari24c309$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.312,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Patins da Ferrari61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18329447.3%139 W · 155 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Patins da Ferrari60c299.43$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.161,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Isurus54c297.71$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.162,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Patins da Ferrari59c292.56$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.598347%39 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Patins da Ferrari40c265$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5638032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Isurus39c260$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.625442.1%107 W · 147 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Isurus41c256.23$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2737848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed Patins da Ferrari48c254.17$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12216245.7%74 W · 88 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Isurus51c250.13$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.911,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked Patins da Ferrari38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9517645.5%80 W · 96 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Isurus46c247.24$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5662448.2%301 W · 323 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Isurus52c244.2$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2570060.1%421 W · 279 L+70.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Patins da Ferrari39c239$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.213,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc78…9055backed Patins da Ferrari43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed Patins da Ferrari60c228.91$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3517050.6%86 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Patins da Ferrari60c225.79$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4750349.3%248 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Isurus41c224.39$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3915347.1%72 W · 81 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Patins da Ferrari58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11664748.4%313 W · 334 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Isurus40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209339.8%37 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Patins da Ferrari43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8629156.7%165 W · 126 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Isurus62c189.19$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.541,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Patins da Ferrari58c188.8$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.52,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Isurus62c185$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1291648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Patins da Ferrari43c180.24$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.124,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x009c…049bbacked Isurus42c178.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5710845.4%49 W · 59 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Patins da Ferrari60c178.23$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.941,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Isurus57c170.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.295,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1924…8e55backed Isurus29c165.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Isurus59c161.61$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.872645.6%331 W · 395 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfef6…c725backed Patins da Ferrari60c158.69$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.822152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x689b…3db1backed Isurus60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Isurus71c139.13$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.71,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Patins da Ferrari60c139$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.420045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc28f…6193backed Isurus49c137.1$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3611354.9%62 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Isurus39c136.94$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5344852.5%235 W · 213 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Patins da Ferrari60c136.04$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8244747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Patins da Ferrari43c129.46$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.991,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.