CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cf81fcdd9f61af5a42074a7316f9f041d11bdbda967015a045a5fbdbfe2a7f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isurusof Patins da Ferrari, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Patins da Ferrari | 40c | 2,281$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.43 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Isurus | 61c | 609.98$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.89 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Isurus | 60c | 355.91$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.36 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Isurus | 62c | 288.43$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Isurus | 58c | 264.32$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Isurus | 60c | 218.97$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Isurus | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Isurus | 58c | 98.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Isurus | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Isurus | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Isurus | 65c | 76.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Isurus | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Isurus | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…d5debacked Patins da Ferrari | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Patins da Ferrari | 41c | 52.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Patins da Ferrari | 40c | 34.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed Isurus | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 PlayoffsIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari - Map 1 WinnerIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari - Map 2 WinnerPatins da Ferrari won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.