TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Patins da Ferrariof Isurus, Patins da Ferrari
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Patins da Ferrari65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.3792456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Isurus32c1,797$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5759445.7%43 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Patins da Ferrari77c1,581$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.911,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed Isurus19c1,334$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9315244.7%68 W · 84 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Isurus35c1,243$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.5452150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Patins da Ferrari76c1,086$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.81,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Patins da Ferrari68c925.35$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.358446.4%39 W · 45 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+40.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Isurus27c849.34$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.371,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc28f…6193backed Isurus25c726.78$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7310956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed Patins da Ferrari78c654.84$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5540264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Isurus24c589.9$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5829235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed Patins da Ferrari65c500$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.063063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Patins da Ferrari69c480.55$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.451,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Isurus32c474.39$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.127139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Isurus9c413.77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Isurus34c362$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.491648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Isurus27c356.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.182,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c6c…b6d7backed Isurus34c350$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1197954.4%43 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Patins da Ferrari61c327.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4222567.1%151 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Isurus14c325$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.72,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Isurus14c293.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.811,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Isurus26c278.26$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.144,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ca…c38fbacked Isurus22c274.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Isurus15c274$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.672,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Isurus35c269.43$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.469339.8%37 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90bf…f885backed Isurus29c252.51$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.283438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Patins da Ferrari75c252.42$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.162,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Patins da Ferrari65c225.46$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1693261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Isurus18c225$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.442,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Patins da Ferrari69c198.55$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.551,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Patins da Ferrari65c188.76$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.011,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Isurus7c183.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.673,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Patins da Ferrari67c181.26$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.268947.2%42 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed Patins da Ferrari66c167.47$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9424260.3%146 W · 96 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Isurus38c160.9$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1424746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfef6…c725backed Patins da Ferrari66c157$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.382152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Patins da Ferrari80c146.12$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.34,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd7a…2674backed Isurus35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Patins da Ferrari66c88.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0772353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Patins da Ferrari61c81.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5336749.3%181 W · 186 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Isurus17c67.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4269445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Isurus32c64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Patins da Ferrari76c56.86$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7762248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Patins da Ferrari74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.440666.3%269 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Isurus38c34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9244747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Isurus41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.360451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Isurus34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.213244.7%59 W · 73 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Patins da Ferrari66c25.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8761054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb56…7277backed Patins da Ferrari66c18.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.44266.7%28 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.