TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c11,272$4,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,525.593,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No53c7,441$3,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,963.3455845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Yes76c7,067$5,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.974223.8%10 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No46c6,444$2,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,976.832,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No24c3,617$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.984431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c2,288$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.7369448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No78c2,110$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.1466150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16de…fcc3backed Yes79c2,018$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.81955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x080e…78a5backed No13c1,438$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.831711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-54.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No21c1,277$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7110768.2%73 W · 34 L+15.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No2c1,259$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.942,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes73c1,170$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.892835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No41c1,162$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.431430.3%95 W · 219 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb069…9568backed No78c1,110$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No43c931$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.336973.9%51 W · 18 L+19.0wins+0.28per pick46cpaid+87.8%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No43c930.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.335066%33 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes22c909.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No37c906.55$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.681,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes79c845.64$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8316940.2%68 W · 101 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No19c824.21$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1616045%72 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes22c746.79$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.51,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes70c717.14$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.14850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No52c675$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.519250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69d0…6732backed Yes80c656.43$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.221154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No24c644.39$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.318244.5%81 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes30c623.39$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.6429959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes22c499.92$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.943528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes35c454.45$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.5229337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes45c431.03$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6785260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.626363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No47c329.65$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.781440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes22c329$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4538047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes22c327.91$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.517146.5%33 W · 38 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+34.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10212770.9%90 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes28c294.67$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.168446.4%39 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes45c263$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.353564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes22c256$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6827545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked No66c247.33$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.964459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed No24c242.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.16955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No71c217.63$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.529668.8%66 W · 30 L+11.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c5d…44d1backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa249…08b6backed No49c198.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes22c181.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No23c174.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5837750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aee…2457backed No24c163.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed No25c148.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.215562.6%97 W · 58 L+22.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2fa9…a486backed No78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes35c127.15$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.152245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No9c122$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8315240.8%62 W · 90 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes42c118.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.617941.9%75 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes80c117.51$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.58463.1%53 W · 31 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89b6…886ebacked Yes65c107.58$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes40c104.23$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5411839.8%47 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb695…f967backed No21c99.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4336…492abacked No32c99.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.23650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No24c98.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.572552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed No75c98.2$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.653751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed No23c94.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.927838.5%30 W · 48 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5bcf…1f7bbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.911435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No58c88.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3735944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes26c87.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.547042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes57c86.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.344358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No74c85.67$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.479354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No79c84.44$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3916443.9%72 W · 92 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked No23c83.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.162544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes22c79.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5947649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed No25c79.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.817855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No59c77$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8145348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes22c76.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4565549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No34c74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3827554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Yes21c71.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.435164.7%33 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc810…adc1backed Yes46c70.74$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.411190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+73.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed No25c70.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.617958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes64c70.3$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.612,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes35c62.28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5829654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3247…9488backed Yes22c60.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.982536%9 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No78c60$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.88461.9%52 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked No79c57.79$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.655851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea80…41afbacked No48c56.16$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes57c52.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3919848%95 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86d0…904ebacked Yes22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Yes22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Yes67c48.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.923951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b4…f911backed Yes22c45.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.874037.5%15 W · 25 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes36c44.94$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.942821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x290a…0994backed No41c44.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.461931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.558331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes41c42.13$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0629470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No75c41.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.954344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No30c39.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.761,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf484…e79cbacked Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1678344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1372…4ce0backed Yes32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.251866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked No68c29.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.911127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe36e…332ebacked Yes72c27.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.713100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…c482backed No46c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked No80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204770.2%33 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7494…db73backed No79c21.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.741266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed No64c20.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.042466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.