Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ceb0e1167dd3aa8243555f79e1cce7a73086399ede686f1b9ed21df9ddd023c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 13c | 4,632$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 4c | 3,600$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 3,470$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.07 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 12c | 3,325$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.63 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Yes | 11c | 2,928$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.61 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,933$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.29 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 79c | 1,868$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 4c | 1,836$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 25c | 1,300$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,292$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Yes | 7c | 1,288$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 12c | 1,280$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 11c | 1,106$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.71 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 16c | 907$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 16c | 879.56$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked Yes | 6c | 662.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 13c | 454.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 375.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 13c | 331.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 330.23$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 10c | 323.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5d…44d1backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 14c | 290$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 12c | 274.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 12c | 249.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 11c | 247.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 234.97$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…216abacked Yes | 11c | 211.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.9wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…4bdebacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 14c | 178$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -81%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 26c | 160.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ee…7699backed Yes | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…5174backed Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 12c | 139.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 15c | 110$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 16c | 107.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…134ebacked Yes | 18c | 105.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 12c | 102.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 13c | 101.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 17c | 100.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 57c | 98.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes | 11c | 94.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 70c | 93.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 16c | 79.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 32c | 70.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 17c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 18c | 62.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Yes | 32c | 44.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab6f…d737backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 75c | 19.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.