Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c56dfd2e49d781b157d6ca1036a4a943424787b25216f23a99bea75d6ac3561
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 22c | 12,500$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…82d6backed No | 78c | 9,400$7,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 7c | 6,262$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.13 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 1,829$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.57 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 79c | 1,038$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.69 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 1,005$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 79c | 960$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…9568backed No | 78c | 559.34$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 7c | 499.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 313.97$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked Yes | 5c | 234.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 79c | 207.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 22c | 149.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 78c | 91.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 22c | 63.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…bec4backed Yes | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 14.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.