Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f09a06af88bd933e5a7d4c04967196d1f8a0b20ef2506846a2a15cefbd92faf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 12c | 7,942$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.99 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 7,627$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 11c | 6,580$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.93 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 4,842$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.59 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,520$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.19 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 13c | 1,770$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes | 1c | 1,539$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 16c | 1,050$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 12c | 781.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 11c | 750$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 14c | 659.19$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 2c | 659$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89e…6a30backed Yes | 15c | 599.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 12c | 492.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 12c | 416.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 12c | 391$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 12c | 332.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…c372backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 14c | 165.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 16c | 137.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Yes | 13c | 113.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 12c | 108$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 14c | 95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 13c | 93.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.