TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,918 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8fba…d08abacked No34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.982920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No21c7,149$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.7998945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes66c4,230$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.235550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes66c3,841$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.943540%14 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6876…8dc9backed Yes66c3,031$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No10c2,776$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.257327.4%20 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes65c2,308$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.693775.7%28 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes66c2,272$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.4821547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes78c2,005$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.15451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes65c1,333$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6512654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No35c1,175$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.119437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No34c1,096$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.6912951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No34c1,077$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.9371443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No13c1,049$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3216657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No34c1,031$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.5170249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34072850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes77c868.8$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.826341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.582955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes76c643.16$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3699340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8087154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No23c479.35$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.071,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad2…9401backed Yes76c476.97$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.22065%13 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick74cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes76c407.83$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.111,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No23c406.22$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked No4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick24cpaid-27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No13c346.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.028760.9%53 W · 34 L+13.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No13c335.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6425851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No20c333$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9810840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes66c332.72$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1233346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No25c326$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.520252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No19c324.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2517244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No24c320$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.814549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fb0…99a6backed Yes75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Yes79c254.66$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.541681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No36c216$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3752639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No13c215.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.829540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5210043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No21c199.46$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7248344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f7…4f7cbacked No32c187.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.841118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No21c187.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8180249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…efaebacked No13c170.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.052060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked No19c169.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No34c167.12$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.825154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No35c152$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.23060%18 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No13c150$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.45440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed No13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes68c147.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.051963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No34c137.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.952923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes66c126.97$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1773438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes65c121.18$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.913,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes70c111.55$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2338246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes64c111$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9637649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes65c101$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0644350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked No21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2231446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes66c79.35$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9839435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No24c79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6545140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No26c77.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.719852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc63b…1b72backed Yes66c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes77c69.8$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0196756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Yes72c69.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.262050%10 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfca9…7b25backed Yes62c66.06$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No16c64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.417341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Yes66c57.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.581330.8%4 W · 9 L-4.5wins-0.34per pick65cpaid-55.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed No35c55.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed No22c49.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No34c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.39346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4aa…f4e5backed No35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd033…d4c6backed Yes74c40.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.59450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc7…4923backed Yes66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes62c37.28$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.172152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No35c30.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4280358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb8…77d7backed No38c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Yes71c26.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.683948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1040…ac10backed Yes72c26.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.29887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes76c22.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4814062.1%87 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes77c21.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0325652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes65c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.351,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf1d…9591backed Yes66c20.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.943951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.84470.5%31 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Yes66c18.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.344660.9%28 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.