Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2d5ebf1c8985814a5021b0bcffb4e4e3f0821f2487237641830540962d2d34b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 24c | 1,551$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.79 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 1,453$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.9 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 14c | 541.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 76c | 315.23$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.43 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 79c | 206.96$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 206.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 10c | 204.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 16c | 194.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 78c | 169.94$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 6c | 167.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 77c | 160.2$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 19c | 152.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 18c | 131.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 77c | 98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 28c | 95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 78c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed No | 77c | 55.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 76c | 50.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed No | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 74c | 28.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 79c | 27.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…e187backed No | 75c | 23.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 78c | 22.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 77c | 14.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.