Tennis · resolved market
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Yunchaokete Bu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01e262ddd2641b14bb4730dd80b45ccaf7c7e7335360fd87f4cb6cd20c8d9421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basavareddyof Basavareddy, Bu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bu | 10c | 11,158$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.02 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Bu | 48c | 1,270$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.82 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Basavareddy | 58c | 778.68$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.1 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bu | 42c | 754.64$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.4 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Basavareddy | 58c | 687.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.29 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Basavareddy | 52c | 578$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.44 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Basavareddy | 55c | 538.66$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.16 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Basavareddy | 56c | 532.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.52 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Basavareddy | 79c | 507.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.01 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Basavareddy | 54c | 441.75$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.75 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Basavareddy | 52c | 382.29$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Bu | 51c | 287.47$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Basavareddy | 52c | 243.89$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.89 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Bu | 47c | 239.29$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.55 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Bu | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Bu | 15c | 177.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Bu | 15c | 169.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc855…0eebbacked Basavareddy | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…1b72backed Bu | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bu | 36c | 143.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Basavareddy | 56c | 142.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae2…eab2backed Bu | 43c | 134$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…31ddbacked Basavareddy | 57c | 134$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d292backed Basavareddy | 53c | 129.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Basavareddy | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Basavareddy | 59c | 110.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4af…0938backed Bu | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Basavareddy | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bu | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Bu | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Basavareddy | 54c | 61.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed Bu | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Basavareddy | 56c | 59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Basavareddy | 52c | 50.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Bu | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Bu | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Basavareddy | 58c | 43.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…afb4backed Bu | 46c | 39.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Bu | 42c | 36.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Basavareddy | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…9500backed Bu | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…e3dbbacked Bu | 52c | 29.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Basavareddy | 58c | 28.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Basavareddy | 56c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f5…e53ebacked Basavareddy | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked Basavareddy | 66c | 19.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f97fbacked Basavareddy | 77c | 17.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked Basavareddy | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.